Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001116 0.001266 0.001418 0.001581 0.001752 0.001925 0.002112
2025-08-24 0.000837 0.001048 0.001267 0.001512 0.001774 0.002045 0.002345
2025-08-31 0.000663 0.000918 0.001193 0.001508 0.001853 0.002216 0.002623
2025-09-07 0.000541 0.000830 0.001154 0.001533 0.001956 0.002407 0.002920
2025-09-14 0.000406 0.000712 0.001070 0.001500 0.001989 0.002518 0.003125
2025-09-21 0.000328 0.000652 0.001046 0.001529 0.002087 0.002696 0.003401
2025-09-28 0.000281 0.000625 0.001056 0.001595 0.002224 0.002916 0.003720
2025-10-05 0.000213 0.000561 0.001016 0.001597 0.002284 0.003047 0.003939
2025-10-12 0.000166 0.000518 0.000998 0.001623 0.002369 0.003204 0.004185
2025-10-19 0.000111 0.000453 0.000946 0.001603 0.002398 0.003295 0.004355
2025-10-26 0.000073 0.000404 0.000911 0.001601 0.002446 0.003405 0.004544
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000350 0.000864 0.001580 0.002469 0.003485 0.004698
2025-11-09 0.000007 0.000280 0.000802 0.001557 0.002512 0.003614 0.004937
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000192 0.000699 0.001476 0.002482 0.003659 0.005085
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000143 0.000650 0.001465 0.002537 0.003803 0.005345
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000112 0.000626 0.001484 0.002629 0.003991 0.005658
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000069 0.000566 0.001448 0.002650 0.004093 0.005868
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000051 0.000551 0.001475 0.002749 0.004287 0.006186
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000043 0.000561 0.001539 0.002895 0.004537 0.006568
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000025 0.000531 0.001539 0.002958 0.004686 0.006830
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000014 0.000517 0.001564 0.003051 0.004870 0.007134
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000003 0.000477 0.001544 0.003083 0.004979 0.007348
2026-01-18 NaN NaN 0.000450 0.001542 0.003138 0.005114 0.007591